Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000155 0.000172 0.000190 0.000210 0.000233 0.000258 0.000287
2025-06-22 0.000127 0.000152 0.000180 0.000216 0.000259 0.000311 0.000379
2025-06-29 0.000106 0.000133 0.000167 0.000211 0.000270 0.000345 0.000449
2025-07-06 0.000089 0.000117 0.000152 0.000202 0.000271 0.000364 0.000501
2025-07-13 0.000080 0.000109 0.000147 0.000203 0.000284 0.000399 0.000578
2025-07-20 0.000074 0.000103 0.000144 0.000206 0.000299 0.000438 0.000666
2025-07-27 0.000067 0.000096 0.000138 0.000204 0.000308 0.000468 0.000742
2025-08-03 0.000063 0.000092 0.000136 0.000207 0.000323 0.000509 0.000842
2025-08-10 0.000058 0.000087 0.000131 0.000205 0.000328 0.000534 0.000918
2025-08-17 0.000053 0.000082 0.000126 0.000202 0.000334 0.000561 0.000999
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000077 0.000121 0.000198 0.000336 0.000580 0.001070
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000072 0.000115 0.000193 0.000334 0.000593 0.001130
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000070 0.000114 0.000196 0.000350 0.000640 0.001269
2025-09-14 0.000041 0.000068 0.000113 0.000200 0.000367 0.000696 0.001436
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000064 0.000109 0.000196 0.000369 0.000719 0.001538
2025-09-28 0.000034 0.000059 0.000102 0.000187 0.000361 0.000722 0.001594
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000057 0.000100 0.000188 0.000371 0.000765 0.001753
2025-10-12 0.000031 0.000055 0.000099 0.000190 0.000386 0.000819 0.001951
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000053 0.000097 0.000189 0.000392 0.000855 0.002108
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000052 0.000096 0.000192 0.000409 0.000916 0.002344
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000049 0.000093 0.000189 0.000412 0.000947 0.002500
2025-11-09 0.000025 0.000047 0.000091 0.000187 0.000416 0.000981 0.002675
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000184 0.000416 0.001003 0.002820